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Assessing the Impact of Lower gas prices in Alterative Fuel Vehicles and the Consumption of Alternative Fuels
Throughout the last fifty years of oil and gasoline consumption throughout
westernized nations including the United States, the elasticity of demand for
these fuels has been more dictated by the pricing decisions of OPEC over pure
market forces. With the turbulent pricing of gasoline on a global basis throughout
the 21rst century, the traditional interrelationships between demand and pricing
have become completely disengaged from each other. There is in fact no clear
definition of elasticity of demand for fuels, as the effects of oil futures trading,
OPEC pricing models and decisions, the inclusionary versus exclusionary
strategies of OPEC with regard to their lesser capitalized members, and the
continuing political turmoil of the Middle East only serve to exacerbate the
problem.
The response to this high level of uncertainty as at the one end of the spectrum
to create highly intricate forecasting and prediction models including the
Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedascity (GARCH) Model
(Zhang, Lohr, Escalante, Wetzstein, 2008) which seeks to normalize and lessen
the shock on economic systems based on wide pricing fluctuations in the cost of
petroleum-based fuels. The magnitude of
Approximate Word count = 874
Approximate Pages = 3 (250 words per page double spaced)
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